Cen Michigan
W-L: ( 4- 8) PR = 85.9765Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 829 H Cen Conn 66-10 907 A Florida Intl CUSA ( 4- 8, 86.3) 16-52 914 A Illinois B10 ( 9- 3, 96.0) 9-30 921 H Ball St MA ( 3- 9, 85.8) 37-34 928 H San Diego St MW ( 3- 9, 86.9) 22-21 1012 H Ohio MA (10- 3, 91.4) 25-27 1019 A Ea Michigan MA ( 5- 7, 86.9) 34-38 1026 A MiamiOH MA ( 8- 5, 90.3) 7-46 1105 H Bowl. Green MA ( 7- 5, 90.0) 13-23 1112 A Toledo MA ( 7- 5, 88.5) 10-37 1119 H We Michigan MA ( 6- 6, 88.9) 16-14 1130 A No Illinois MA ( 7- 5, 90.1) 16-24
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
907 A Florida Intl 16-52 -36 -1 - -3.79
914 A Illinois 9-30 -21 -11 0.00
921 H Ball St 37-34 3 1 1.93
928 H San Diego St 22-21 1 0 1.05
1012 H Ohio 25-27 -2 -5 + 2.54
1019 A Ea Michigan 34-38 -4 -2 - -2.20
1026 A MiamiOH 7-46 -39 -5 0.00
1105 H Bowl. Green 13-23 -10 -3 -1.93
1112 A Toledo 10-37 -27 -3 -1.61
1119 H We Michigan 16-14 2 -2 ++ 4.01
1130 A No Illinois 16-24 -8 -5 -0.01
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 907 A Florida Intl 16-52 -36 -1 - -3.79 1019 A Ea Michigan 34-38 -4 -2 - -2.20 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1119 H We Michigan 16-14 2 -2 ++ 4.01 1012 H Ohio 25-27 -2 -5 + 2.54 |
Cen Michigan Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col ` | Boston Col ` | Boston Col ` | ||
| California | California | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | California | |
| Clemson | Clemson | Clemson | ||
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida St | Florida St | Florida St | ||
| Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | Louisville | ||
| Miami | Miami | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Miami | |
| UNC | UNC | UNC | ||
| NC St | NC St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | NC St | |
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| SMU | SMU | SMU | ||
| Stanford | Stanford | Stanford | ||
| Syracuse | Syracuse | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Syracuse | |
| Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Va Tech | Va Tech | Va Tech | ||
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | Wake Forest | ||
| Army | Army | Army | ||
| Charlotte | Charlotte | Charlotte | ||
| Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Fla Atlantic | Fla Atlantic | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fla Atlantic | |
| Memphis | Memphis | Memphis | ||
| Navy | Navy | Navy | ||
| No Texas | No Texas | No Texas | ||
| Rice | Rice | Rice | ||
| So Florida | So Florida | So Florida | ||
| Temple | Temple | Temple | ||
| Tulane | Tulane | Tulane | ||
| Tulsa | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| UAB | UAB | UAB | ||
| UTSA | UTSA | UTSA | ||
| Arizona | Arizona | Arizona | ||
| Arizona St | Arizona St | Arizona St | ||
| BYU | BYU | BYU | ||
| Baylor | Baylor | Baylor | ||
| Cincinnati | Cincinnati | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cincinnati | |
| Colorado | Colorado | Colorado | ||
| Houston | Houston | Houston | ||
| Iowa St | Iowa St | Iowa St | ||
| Kansas | Kansas | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Kansas | |
| Kansas St | Kansas St | Kansas St | ||
| Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | Oklahoma St | ||
| TCU | TCU | TCU | ||
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | Texas Tech | ||
| UCF | UCF | UCF | ||
| Utah | Utah | Utah | ||
| We Virginia | We Virginia | We Virginia | ||
| Illinois | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Indiana | Indiana | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Indiana | |
| Iowa | Iowa | Iowa | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| Michigan | Michigan | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Michigan | |
| Michigan St | Michigan St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Minnesota | Minnesota | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Minnesota | |
| Nebraska | Nebraska | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Nebraska | |
| Northwestern | Northwestern | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Northwestern | |
| Ohio St | Ohio St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Ohio St | |
| Oregon | Oregon | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Oregon | |
| Penn St | Penn St | Penn St 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Purdue | Purdue | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Purdue | |
| Rutgers | Rutgers | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rutgers | |
| UCLA | UCLA | UCLA | ||
| USC | USC | USC | ||
| Washington | Washington | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Washington | |
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Wisconsin | |
| Florida Intl | Florida Intl | Florida Intl | ||
| Jacksonv. St | Jacksonv. St | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Jacksonv. St | |
| Kennesaw St | Cen Michigan | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cen Michigan | |
| Liberty | Liberty | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Liberty | |
| La Tech | La Tech | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | La Tech | |
| Middle Tenn | Cen Michigan | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cen Michigan | |
| NM St | Cen Michigan | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cen Michigan | |
| SHouston St | SHouston St | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | SHouston St | |
| UTEP | Cen Michigan | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cen Michigan | |
| We Kentucky | We Kentucky | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | We Kentucky | |
| UMass | Cen Michigan | tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) | Cen Michigan | |
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Notre Dame | |
| UConn | UConn | UConn | ||
| Akron | Akron | insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 2- 4) | Akron | |
| Ball St | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| Bowl. Green | Bowl. Green | Bowl. Green | ||
| Buffalo | Buffalo | Buffalo 4- 2 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Ea Michigan | Ea Michigan | Ea Michigan | ||
| Kent State | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan 2- 4 vs 0- 6 | ||
| MiamiOH | MiamiOH | MiamiOH | ||
| No Illinois | No Illinois | No Illinois | ||
| Ohio | Ohio | Ohio | ||
| Toledo | Toledo | Toledo | ||
| We Michigan | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| Air Force | Air Force | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Air Force | |
| Boise State | Boise State | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Boise State | |
| Colorado St | Colorado St | Colorado St | ||
| Fresno St | Fresno St | Fresno St | ||
| Hawaii | Hawaii | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Hawaii | |
| Nevada | Nevada | Nevada | ||
| New Mexico | New Mexico | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | New Mexico | |
| San Diego St | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| San Jose St | San Jose St | San Jose St | ||
| UNLV | UNLV | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | UNLV | |
| Utah St | Utah St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Utah St | |
| Wyoming | Wyoming | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Wyoming | |
| Oregon St | Oregon St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Oregon St | |
| Wash St | Wash St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Wash St | |
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | Arkansas | Arkansas | ||
| Auburn | Auburn | Auburn | ||
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Kentucky | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Kentucky | |
| LSU | LSU | LSU | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | Missouri | ||
| Miss St | Cen Michigan | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cen Michigan | |
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| So Carolina | So Carolina | So Carolina | ||
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | Texas | ||
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Texas A&M | |
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Vanderbilt | |
| App St | App St | App St | ||
| Arkansas State | Arkansas State | Arkansas State | ||
| Coastal Car | Coastal Car | Coastal Car | ||
| Georgia So | Georgia So | Georgia So | ||
| Georgia St | Georgia St | Georgia St | ||
| J Madison | J Madison | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | J Madison | |
| Louisiana | Louisiana | Louisiana | ||
| Marshall | Marshall | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Marshall | |
| Old Dominion | Old Dominion | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Old Dominion | |
| So Miss | Cen Michigan | Cen Michigan | ||
| So Alabama | So Alabama | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | So Alabama | |
| Texas State | Texas State | Texas State | ||
| Troy | Troy | Troy | ||
| La-Monroe | La-Monroe | La-Monroe |
PowerWise = 12
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.10
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Florida Intl ( 4- 8, 86.3) 16-52 -13.62 4.64 0.91 1.10 -13.99
0 A Illinois ( 9- 3, 96.0) 9-30 -3.93 14.33 0.91 1.10 -3.32
0 H Ball St ( 3- 9, 85.8) 37-34 -14.09 4.16 -0.91 1.10 3.59
0 H San Diego St ( 3- 9, 86.9) 22-21 -12.97 5.29 -0.91 1.10 4.82
0 H Ohio (10- 3, 91.4) 25-27 -8.48 9.78 -0.91 1.10 -10.32
0 A Ea Michigan ( 5- 7, 86.9) 34-38 -13.03 5.22 0.91 1.10 -13.34
0 A MiamiOH ( 8- 5, 90.3) 7-46 -9.57 8.69 0.91 1.10 -9.53
0 H Bowl. Green ( 7- 5, 90.0) 13-23 -9.94 8.31 -0.91 1.10 -11.94
0 A Toledo ( 7- 5, 88.5) 10-37 -11.44 6.81 0.91 1.10 -11.60
0 H We Michigan ( 6- 6, 88.9) 16-14 -11.01 7.25 -0.91 1.10 6.98
0 A No Illinois ( 7- 5, 90.1) 16-24 -9.83 8.42 0.91 1.10 -9.83
------
-68.49
|
winning pts = 15.3878 losing points = -83.8758
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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